I don’t think you’ll find any weather complaints about Saturday across the subway! The sky can get a little cloudy early Saturday, but the weather will improve throughout the day.
A band of rain that passed through the subway on Friday will continue to affect parts of southeastern Minnesota on Saturday, showering areas like Rochester. It gets drier and cooler behind the fronts that peaked in the 1970s and 1970s.
Great weather weekend on the subway
And the beautiful fall weather we’ll see on Saturday will continue through Sunday, with a few passing clouds and highs in the high 70s. Heading into early next week, we’ll start to see temperatures trending upwards again, but we’re still seeing mostly clear skies.
Highs are already approaching 80F heading into Tuesday and could continue into the weekend. A fairly dry pattern is expected after the rain we saw Friday, but we can’t rule out another thunderstorm later in the week.
autumn color update
More than a week has passed since the beginning of September. That means it’s time to keep an eye on the progress of fall foliage across the region. So far, none of the Minnesota DNR State Parks have reported values outside the 0-10% range. However, we do know how quickly that will change as we head into the next month or so. You can monitor this map over the weeks from MN DNR by clicking here.
Here is a handy map of typical peak autumn colors from MN DNR. This ranges from his mid/late September in northern Minnesota to his mid-October in southern Minnesota.
Ignore the prospect of a doomsday winter
At the risk of spreading disinformation, Minnesota’s Farmer’s Almanac’s winter outlook is worth a sip. It’s just another normal winter, isn’t it? The hype sells, but despite clues, climate models, and La Niña climate correlations, the outlook for winter is largely unknown. I’m still not sure if the Pioneer will survive the winter.
Meteorological Summer was 2F hotter than normal on the subway. It is the 13th warmest and 9th driest since 1872. We spent 26% more than usual on cooling our homes and businesses, based on NOAA’s cooling data. Bring on the free Canadian air conditioning.
The rain has eased off this morning, but a storm is expected to form in Wisconsin by Sunday, with 2 to 4 inches of precipitation expected. The skies will brighten today, with a chance of cooler sunshine on Sunday morning and noon, but showers could roll into the metropolitan area late tomorrow.
From Tuesday through the following weekend you’ll see the 80’s streak. Oh September: Short his pants and trainers together. not a glacier.
Paul’s Extended Twin Cities Prediction
Saturday: Wet start, afternoon sun. Get up 55. Up to 69. 50% chance of rain. Wind NW 8-13 mph.
Sunday: Partly sunny with late showers in the southeast. Get up 53. Up to 70. 40% chance of rain. North wind 7-12 mph.
Monday: Sunny and calm. Get up 52. Up to 73. 10% chance of rain. Wind north 5-10 mph.
Tuesday: Warm sunshine. Get up 54. 80 max. 0% chance of rain. Wind southwest 3-8 mph.
Wednesday: Sunny and warm. Get up 58. Up to 84. 0% chance of rain. Wind southeast 8-13 mph.
Thursday: hazy sun, feels like August. Get up 67. Up to 87. 10% chance of rain. Wind South 10-20 mph.
Friday: Partly sunny, few typhoons. Get up 68. Up to 86. 30% chance of rain. Wind South 8-13 mph.
Weather Calendar and Solar Data for Minneapolis
*day length: 12 hours 47 minutes 14 seconds
*Lack of daylight since yesterday: 3 minutes 4 seconds
*When do we get less than 12 hours of sunshine?: September 26 (11 hours 57 minutes 40 seconds)
*Does the sun start to rise after 7am?: September 22 (7:00 am)
*Does the sun start to set by 7pm?: September 27 (7:00 p.m.)
This day in weather history
2002: A late-season tornado hits Albertville after midnight. According to a damage survey conducted by NWS officials, it landed at the eastern end of Cedar Creek Golf Course, then traveled straight east and dissipated in a municipal park just west of the tracks. I completely ripped off the roof of one house. Many other houses had their roofs partially peeled off, many of the attached garages collapsed, and several houses were turned on their foundations. About 20 houses were damaged, 9 of which were severely damaged.
1986: Three inches of hail in Watong One County.
1947: Heavy rain falls on the Iron Range. Hibbing he receives 8.6 inches in 3 hours.
1931: St. Cloud experiences a record high of 106 degrees, reaching 104 degrees in Minneapolis.
1910: From June 14th to September 10th (87 days) there will be frost-free days, ending the shortest growing season on record in Duluth. A typical frost-free season is 143 days.
Nationwide weather forecast
A frontal boundary near the southeast will continue to pose a heavy rain threat on Saturday. The southwest sees showers and storms bolstered by cays. Also, a cold front across the central United States and into the Great Lakes will bring showers and a few storms.
Heavy rain is possible in some areas over the weekend. One crosses Southern California due to the northward influx of moisture from the Cay off Baja California. In the Southeast, Big Bend in Florida and he along the coast of Georgia and South Carolina are two areas that could see more heavy rain. Three inches or more of precipitation is expected in these three regions. Parts of the Mid-Atlantic and upper Midwest will also receive 1-3 inches of rain.
A major climate ‘tipping point’ is right on the horizon
Details from Gizmodo: “Rapid sea level rise, mass death of coral reefs, and rapid melting of glaciers are closer than we think. The Earth needs to stay within 1.5 degrees Celsius if we don’t want to trigger some of these events, but new research published Thursday in Science shows that some climate systems have some irreversible consequences. We have discovered that we are already in a perilous zone of change – what we call a tipping point. Tipping points in this study are described as thresholds crossed when changes accumulate and lead to large changes in global climate. Researchers have identified 16 major tipping points that help regulate Earth’s climate. These include nine global core tipping points that contribute to the normal functioning of the plant, such as thawing Arctic permafrost and breaking ocean currents.“
California Battery Fleet Working to Avoid Energy Crisis
More from Energy Storage News: “On Sept. 6, Jill Anderson, executive VP of operations for Southern California Edison, another large utility company, said the battery-storage set was “setting a record for grid support in this blistering heat wave.” He tweeted that it was “unbelievable” to see. The most extreme mismatch between demand and supply is usually between the evening peaks of 7:00 pm and 9:00 pm. Anderson posted graphs from his CAISO showing that around 7pm that day he was discharging well over 3,000MW of battery capacity into the grid. “Just found that the battery has discharged more than twice as much as it did last year and orders of magnitude more discharge than was available on the grid in 2020,” Anderson tweeted.“
Big oil companies spend millions of dollars to look ‘green’.Their investments tell a different story, report shows
Details from CNN: “Big oil companies are spending millions of dollars to show they’re taking action on climate change, but their investments and lobbying are responding to claims that they’re good for the planet, according to a new report. No. According to analysis by InfluenceMap, a London-based energy and climate think tank, the anti-climate measures used by five major oil and gas companies – BP, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Shell and Total Energies. The volume of positive messages does not match spending on low cost. carbon activity. The report comes amid increasingly urgent warnings from scientists that the world must reduce its use of fossil fuels to prevent the devastating consequences of the climate crisis. There is also renewed criticism of oil companies’ rising profits amid skyrocketing consumer energy costs.“
Thank you for checking in. Have a good day! Don’t forget to follow me on Twitter (@dkayserwx) and like me on Facebook (Meteorologist DJ Kaiser).
– DJ Kaiser